Forecasting of wind generation : recent advances and future challenges

Abstract : Short-term forecasting of wind power is recognized as a cost-effective manner of easing the integration of wind power into power systems and electricity markets. However, recent studies have shown that reaching an optimal integration would necessitate significant advances in several domains. This includes the optimal use of available information, appropriate uncertainty estimation and communication, or the design of advanced decision-making methods. A high number of new methods, concepts and implementation projects have appeared in the last few years. The paper gives an overview of recent advances and of the challenges left for the short to medium term.