Prospective analysis of post-Copenhagen climate policy: the plausibility of investments in carbon capture and storage

Sandrine Selosse (1) , Edi Assoumou (1) , Nadia Maïzi (1)

1 CMA - Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées

A key issue for the Post-Copenhagen agreement is the participation of the United States and of on-Annex I countries, and especially China. Indeed, China and the USA are the major global CO2 emitters, and a climate agreement without their participation will have difficulties to reach the stabilisations of both the CO2 concentration and the global temperature. In this paper, we analyse different paths and targets for the mitigation of CO2 emissions through different scenarios and we focus on their regional implications on the costs, the total energy consumption and the energy mix. This analysis provides some understanding keys of the international climate policies and raises the question of their technological plausibility which is a critical issue for policy design. In this exercise, we mainly study the plausibility of investments in Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technologies.

Mots clés: Prospective analysis; carbon

Domaines: Planification énergétique; Prospective long-terme

Sandrine Selosse, Edi Assoumou, Nadia Maïzi. Prospective analysis of post-Copenhagen climate policy: the plausibility of investments in carbon capture and storage. 11th IAEE European Conference, "Energy Economy, Policies and Supply Security: Surviving the Global Economic Crisis", Aug 2010, Vilnius, Lithuania. ⟨hal-00509180⟩