 |
 |
Conference papers
Forecasting Uncertainty Related to Ramps of Wind Power Production
Abstract : The continuous improvement of the accuracy of wind power forecasts is motivated by the increasing wind power integration. Today forecasters are challenged in providing forecasts able to handle extreme situations. This paper presents two methods focusing on forecasting large and sharp variations in power output of a wind farm called ramps. The fi rst one provides probabilistic forecasts using large temporal scales information about ramps. The second method uses ensembles to generate con dence intervals allowing to better estimate the timing of ramps. The two methods are tested and results are given for a real case study.
Cited literature [22 references]
https://hal-mines-paristech.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00765885
Contributor : Magalie Prudon Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Monday, December 17, 2012 - 10:18:33 AM
Last modification on : Wednesday, November 17, 2021 - 12:32:56 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Sunday, December 18, 2016 - 3:15:31 AM
Contributor : Magalie Prudon Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Monday, December 17, 2012 - 10:18:33 AM
Last modification on : Wednesday, November 17, 2021 - 12:32:56 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Sunday, December 18, 2016 - 3:15:31 AM
File
141_EWEC2010presentation.pdf
Files produced by the author(s)