Accéder directement au contenu Accéder directement à la navigation
Communication dans un congrès

GEOSTATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF VALIDATION DATA OF AN AIR POLLUTION SIMULATOR

Abstract : Chemistry-transport models for air quality forecasting are affected by the uncertainty on the input data (emissions of pollutants and meteorological conditions), the approximations in the modelling of the physicochemical reactions, and numerical approximations (space and time discretization). The validation of the accuracy of these simulators can be done by comparing predictions with actual measurements. This exercise has been carried out for a model for daily forecasting at the scale of Europe, with reference to daily measurements at about one hundred stations over one year. A thorough variographic analysis shows that the error field cannot be characterized independently of the predicted and observed fields. Indeed the forecasts usually display space and time variations similar to those of the measurement data, up to a multiplicative factor, but are often poorly correlated with the reality. These results can be used to define priorities in the improvement of the chemistrytransport model. The presentation is focused on sulphates and nitrogen dioxide.
Liste complète des métadonnées

Littérature citée [9 références]  Voir  Masquer  Télécharger

https://hal-mines-paristech.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00776934
Contributeur : Serge Antoine Séguret <>
Soumis le : mercredi 16 janvier 2013 - 15:03:44
Dernière modification le : jeudi 24 septembre 2020 - 16:34:09
Archivage à long terme le : : samedi 1 avril 2017 - 06:16:12

Fichier

chili_2008_pollution.pdf
Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-00776934, version 1

Citation

Jean-Paul Chilès, Serge Antoine Séguret, Pierre-Marc Riboud. GEOSTATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF VALIDATION DATA OF AN AIR POLLUTION SIMULATOR. 8th International geostatistics Congress, Dec 2008, Santiago, Chile. pp.861-870. ⟨hal-00776934⟩

Partager