Causal Probabilistic Modeling with Bayesian Networks to Combat the Risk of Piracy Against Offshore Oil Platforms

Xavier Chaze (1) , Amal Bouejla (1) , Franck Guarnieri (1) , Aldo Napoli (1)

1 CRC - Centre de recherche sur les Risques et les Crises

Pirate attacks against offshore oil platforms are multiplying. To reduce the vulnerability of this critical, highly strategic infrastructure, operators are actively investigating potential new information and communication technologies. Among the available options, techniques from artificial intelligence and, in particular, Bayesian networks offer promising avenues for research. This article describes the development and assessment of a prototype Bayesian network designed to assess the risk of attack against offshore oil platforms.

Mots clés: Bayesian Networks

Domaines: Sciences de l'Homme et Société; Gestion des risques et des crises

Xavier Chaze, Amal Bouejla, Franck Guarnieri, Aldo Napoli. Causal Probabilistic Modeling with Bayesian Networks to Combat the Risk of Piracy Against Offshore Oil Platforms. Radio Science Bulletin, 2013, 345 (Disaster Management special issue), pp.21-34. ⟨hal-00856707⟩