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Les exercices de prospective énergétique à l’épreuve des mutations des modes de vie

Abstract : Among the tools and processes that are used to inform decisions makers on the long-term challenges raised by energy transition, prospective studies are at the forefront. This paper investigates how energy forecasting exercises take into account lifestyle changes – that constitute fundamental components of societies’ direct and indirect energy consumption. Thirteen French exercises are screened confirming that most foresight studies do not entirely consider lifestyle as a key factor. However part of recent exercises takes into consideration lifestyles as an emerging issue. Our literature review – completed by a monograph of five pioneer studies and research projects – initiates the thought about perspectives offered by lifestyle consideration in energy transition foresight exercises. Limitations associated with existing tools and models are also discussed in this paper.
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Submitted on : Monday, February 23, 2015 - 4:17:53 PM
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Thomas Le Gallic, Edi Assoumou, Nadia Maïzi, Pierre Strosser. Les exercices de prospective énergétique à l’épreuve des mutations des modes de vie. VertigO : La Revue Électronique en Sciences de l'Environnement, VertigO, 2015, Dossier : Transition énergétique : contexte, enjeux et possibilités, 14 (3), pp.[En ligne]. ⟨10.4000/vertigo.15635⟩. ⟨hal-01119645⟩



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