Fukushima’s impact on the European power sector: A long-term policy analysis using TIAM-FR

Sandrine Selosse (1) , Olivia Ricci (1) , Nadia Maïzi (1)

1 CMA - Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées

The accident in Fukushima, Japan, in March 2011 has reactivated the discussion on how to meet ambitious climate mitigation objectives as some European countries reconsider the contribution of nuclear power in their energy mix. This study evaluates the impact of nuclear power reduction in Europe on the electricity mix under carbon emission reduction scenarios while considering the availability of carbon capture and storage technological options. The potential cost of carbon reduction is also addressed using the bottom-up optimization model TIAM-FR. The results suggest that CCS technologies constitute an interesting option in a case of stringent climate targets and limited nuclear electricity. However, the unavailability of CCS technologies induces a significant increase in carbon cost to achieve the climate policy.

Mots clés: Energy modeling; European Union policies; Climate change; TIAM-FR; Nuclear phase out; Carbon Capture and Storage; Bioenergies

Domaines: Sciences de l'environnement; Planification énergétique; Sciences de l'environnement; Prospective long-terme

Sandrine Selosse, Olivia Ricci, Nadia Maïzi. Fukushima’s impact on the European power sector: A long-term policy analysis using TIAM-FR. [Research Report] Working Paper 2012-04-07, Chaire Modélisation prospective au service du développement durable. 2013, pp.24 - Les Cahiers de la Chaire. ⟨hal-01135609⟩