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Communication dans un congrès
Evaluation of the level of prediction errors and sub-hourly variability of PV and wind generation in a future with a large amount of renewables
Abstract : In this paper we propose a method for the simulation of errors in renewable energy sources generation forecasting (photovoltaic and wind) for use in power system planning studies. The proposed methodology relies on 5 elementary simulation steps. The first step is the simulation of photovoltaic plant and wind farm power production, with a sufficient spatial and temporal resolution (few km and hourly time step), the second is the simulation of the localisation of production sites, the third step is the generation of forecast errors using historic data of numerical weather predictions, and the last step is the simulation of intra-hourly variations of photovoltaic production. Finally, it is discussed how these simulation tools can assist the evaluation of the required tertiary reserves in a power system with a large share of renewable energies into the mix.
Keywords :
renewable energy
simulation
Littérature citée [1 références]
https://hal-mines-paristech.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01255039
Contributeur : Magalie Prudon <>
Soumis le : mercredi 13 janvier 2016 - 10:29:28
Dernière modification le : jeudi 24 septembre 2020 - 17:20:17
Archivage à long terme le : : lundi 18 avril 2016 - 22:30:10
Contributeur : Magalie Prudon <>
Soumis le : mercredi 13 janvier 2016 - 10:29:28
Dernière modification le : jeudi 24 septembre 2020 - 17:20:17
Archivage à long terme le : : lundi 18 avril 2016 - 22:30:10
Fichier
girard_CIRED2015.pdf
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