India's long-term pathways for bioenergy: scenario analysis using TIAM-FR model
Résumé
The third largest GHG emitter in the world after China and the USA, India is facing climate change challenges. In 2012, Indian government announced their voluntary GHG emission abatement target for 2020 and is expected to submit in 2015 its Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) to the next Conference of Parties (COP 21) in Paris. In their actions against climate change and to reduce GHG emissions, renewable energy including bioenergy is being highlighted. Bioenergy plays also an important role for Indian energy security. The poor energy access in remote areas made India invest in the bioenergy development through off-grid and decentralized energy systems from biomass. Moreover, growing demand in electricity and transport fuel raised also strong needs of bioenergy. This study evaluates possible pathways of development of low carbon energy system using the multi-region energy system model TIAM-FR, the French version of the TIMES Integrated Assessment Model, developed under the IEA’s ETSAP (Energy Technology Systems Analysis Program). This bottom-up optimization model allows technology-rich representation of energy system, so, under various scenarios, the feasibility of the current Indian energy and environmental policies ,and the most economic-technological pathways have been analyzed, including notably their technical and economic viability that slows down the bioenergy development as well as limited feedstock.