Is GHG mitigation policy enough to develop bioenergy in Asia: a long-term analysis with TIAM-FR

Seungwoo Kang (1) , Sandrine Selosse (1) , Nadia Maïzi (1)

1 CMA - Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées

Asian countries have sharply increased their energy consumption due to economic growth, inducing extremely high dependency on fossil energy, ranking them among the world's highest CO2 emitters. Hence, the current focus in these countries is on using bioenergy to diversify the energy mix and mitigate climate change. In this study, we estimated the evolution of bioenergy deployment through current energy and climate policies using a bottom-up energy system optimisation model. The results indicate that a carbon tax system would derive the greatest bioenergy consumption by 2030. Current INDCs targets appear insufficient to promote bioenergy development without renewable energy targets and biofuel blending mandates.

Mots clés: energy system; long-term modelling; bioenergy; climate change; climate action plan; strategy; policies

Domaines: Sciences de l'environnement; Planification énergétique; Sciences de l'environnement; Prospective long-terme

Seungwoo Kang, Sandrine Selosse, Nadia Maïzi. Is GHG mitigation policy enough to develop bioenergy in Asia: a long-term analysis with TIAM-FR. International Journal of Oil, Gas and Coal Technology, 2017, Special Issue on: IBSCE 2015 Bioenergy and Biofuels in Asia and Europe, 14 (1/2), pp.5-31. ⟨10.1504/IJOGCT.2017.10002111⟩. ⟨hal-01419991⟩